Service Plays Sunday 1/11/09

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Thank you, wilheim..

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Kevin Kavitch

I'm backing Philly. They've been in must win games for almost 2 months now and are playing their best football of the season. They've gotten healthier and will have confidence as a result of their win in NY back in early December. They dominated that game and getting more than a FG here is a big advantage. Two big things I like is Philly's recent success stopping the run and the fact they'll be the hungrier team. The Giants won it all last year while then Eagles have gotten a sniff in recent years but couldn't finish the job. It's hard to have a motivational edge at this time of year but I see the Eagles being hungrier and digging deeper. I smell a potential upset and I'll grab the points. Take Philadelphia +4 for a 4* Regular Play.
 

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THE SOCCER EXPERTS

NOW 19-5 SIDES AND TOTALS
6-2 PARLAYS


SUNDAY 1/11

Spain league

Real Madrid to win
F.C Barcelona to win

Parlay:
Real Madrid to win
Barcelona to win
 
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Gold Sheet #20


PHILADELPHIA (10-6-1) at NY GIANTS (12-4) NFL RATINGS & SPREAD RECORDS
Sunday, January 11
TEAM SUR PSR PF PA YR YP T-R-P YR YP T-R-P TO DIFF OPR
Phil. 10-6 11-6 26 18 104 246 47-15-24 96 180 33-9-19 3 2.0 5.1
NY G. 12-4 12-4 27 18 157 199 45-19-23 96 196 34-14-17 9 2.6 4.7
Philadelphia 19 - N.Y. GIANTS 16—It goes without saying that there are no
secrets between these old, bitter NFC East rivals who will be meeting for the
eighth time in the past three seasons. Included was a 2006 wildcard playoff win
(but no cover) by the Eagles, 23-20, and a pair of disparate ‘08 regular-season
meetings both won by the road underdog. The November 9 battle at the Linc
was a back-and-forth affair in which the Giants were able to establish their
powerful, NFL-best infantry (219 YR) en route to a 36-31 triumph. But things
were a lot different for the December 14 rematch at cold and blustery Giants
Stadium, when Jim Johnson’s Philly “D” slowed the Giant ground assault and
watched Eli Manning struggle with the notorious Meadowlands winds.
Meanwhile, Eagle QB Donovan McNabb’s short, ball-control passing game was
mostly unaffected by the weather conditions, while RB Brian Westbrook, held to
26 YR in the first meeting, exploded for 133 YR and a pair of big-play TDs in a
20-14 Philly upset that many believe was the pivot point in the Birds’ lateseason
drive to the playoffs.
While we can’t expect the rubber match to replicate either of the regularseason
meetings, we wouldn’t be surprised if this contest more resembles the
second battle, won by Philly. Although we’ll have to check with Al Roker on the
weather conditions, we can reasonably assume that early January will be cold
and windy in East Rutherford, and it’s been in those frigid, breezy conditions
when Eli (on the road all of the postseason LY) has suffered his most
ignominious meltdowns; McNabb’s tighter spirals and “dinks” are less likely to
be impacted. Moreover, many observers believe the G-Men (who lost 3 of their
last 4) not only might have peaked a bit early this season, but will now significantly
begin to miss the presence of suspended WR Plaxico Burress and his ability to
distort the field, robbing the aerial attack of its most dynamic weapon.
Meanwhile, Philly has been hot (won and covered 5 of last 6), has plenty of
playoff experience (McNabb is 10-5 vs. the line in postseason, including 4-1 as
a playoff dog), and confident that it can compete (and beat) a familiar foe. Given
the recent trends in Division Round action that favor the underdogs (7-1 the past
two years) and a top conference seed bowing out early each of the past three
years, a mild Eagle upset would come as no surprise.
(08-Nyg 36-PHIL. 31...N.26-17 N.45/219 P.21/106 P.17/36/1/194 N.17/31/1/182 N.1 P.1)
(08-Phi 20-GIANTS 14...P.24-14 P.40/144 N.24/88 P.19/30/0/187 N.13/27/0/123 P.0 N.0)
(07-NYG 16-Phil. 3...16-16 P.23/114 N.27/83 N.14/26/1/129 P.15/31/0/76 N.0 P.1)
(07-Nyg 16-PHIL. 13...P.18-15 P.28/141 N.27/111 N.17/31/0/207 P.20/31/0/165 N.2 P.1)
(08-Giants +3 36-31, Phi +6' 20-14; 07-GIANTS +2' 16-3, Giants +3 16-13...SR: NY Giants 81-68-2)





SAN DIEGO (9-8) at PITTSBURGH (12-4)
Sunday, January 11
TEAM SUR PSR PF PA YR YP T-R-P YR YP T-R-P TO DIFF OPR
S. Diego 9-8 8-9 27 21 111 238 54-16-34 100 251 41-12-26 3 3.5 6.5
Pittsburgh12-4 9-7 22 14 105 207 38-16-19 80 157 21-7-12 4 2.6 4.7
*San Diego 17 - PITTSBURGH 16—In the last playoff meeting of these two
teams in Pittsburgh, San Diego QB Stan Humphries won the game with a long
TD pass to WR Tony Martin down the right sideline late in the fourth quarter,
sending the Chargers to their only Super Bowl, in the 1994 season.
Times have changed a lot since then, with Pittsburgh escaping with an 11-10
victory vs. S.D. last November 16, when Jeff Reed hit a FG with 11 seconds left,
one of the four excruciating losses suffered by San Diego in the last 24 seconds
TY that gave the Chargers a somewhat deceiving 8-8 regular-season record
that easily could have been 10-6 or 12-4. S.D. has since proven its worth by
capturing four straight must-win games to end the regular season and then by
edging the red-hot Colts in the wild card round.
Moreover, the underdog mark of the Chargers (3-0 TY, 18-3-1 the L6Ys) is
nothing to be ignored, nor is the often-maligned Norv Turner’s 3-1 straight-up
(4-0 vs. the spread) playoff mark with San Diego. Plus, the health status of
several key players in this game is uncertain, with LaDainian Tomlinson (groin),
Ben Roethlisberger (concussion), and Willie Parker (only 3.9 ypc TY) all
missing playing time down the stretch. Indeed, subs Darren Sproles for the
Chargers and Mewelde Moore for the Steelers have shined in several games.
One thing is clear, however, and that is the sizzling QBing of Philip Rivers (5-
0 as a Dec.-Jan. starter with 11 TDs vs. 2 ints.), while Roethlisberger (59.9% for
the season, 17 TDs vs. 15 ints.) has labored behind a leaky OL that has allowed
the 29th-most sacks in the league with 49! This is not Steeler-like.
Behind QB Rivers (34 TDs, only 11 ints. in the regular season), PR/KR/supersub
RB Sproles, the uncanny punting of Mike Scifres (five inside the Indy 10-
yard line last week!), and an improved defense under d.c. Ron Rivera, San
Diego is playing with great confidence and might just escape Steel Town with a
not-so-improbable victory.
(08-PITT 11-S. Diego 10...P.24-16 P.28/124 S.22/66 P.31/41/0/286 S.15/26/2/152 P.0 S.0)
(08-PITTSBURGH -4' 11-10...SR: Pittsburgh 20-8)

(NFL DIVISIONAL ROUND NOTEBOOK continued from page 2)
Whatever. Following are the pointspread results in various spread
categories of NFL Division Round playoff games since 1976. The
aforementioned recent solid performances by underdog teams in this round
have narrowed many of the once-significant gaps favored teams had compiled
in this round. Our “charting” begins with the ’76 season because, prior to then,
playoff home teams were predetermined in a divisional rotation, as opposed to
the better won-loss record. A “margin of victory” chart for the games since 1976
is included as well.
CATEGORY RESULT
Favorites vs. line ...................... 65-59-3 (1 pick)
Favorites straight up .................................. 90-37
Favored by 0-3 points .............................. 7-12-1
Favored by 3½-6½ points ....................... 22-19-1
Favored by 7-9½ points ............................. 24-18
Favored by 10-13½ points ............................. 9-7
Favored by 14 points or more.................... 3-3-1
Home teams straight up ............................ 92-36
Home teams vs. spread .......................... 67-58-3
Home favorites vs. spread ..................... 63-56-3
Home underdogs vs. spread......................... 3-2
Home picks vs. spread .................................. 1-0
Over/under (since 1986) ............................ 47-41
MARGINS OF VICTORY
1-3 points ................................... 30
4-6 points ................................... 11
7-10 points ................................. 23
11-13 points ................................. 7
14 points or more ..................... 57
 

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"the boys " nfl favorite of the week ...

"THE BOYS " NFL FAVORITE OF THE WEEK
-----------------------------------------

STEELERS - 6 OVER SAN DIEGO @ 4:45 ET (SUN)

* followed him all season & only recall him betting on a favorite i believe twice (2--0 ) through the entire reg season ..
 
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Doug Williams


Philadelphia Eagles (+4) Over New York Giants (-4) -- Ugh. Do I actually believe in Andy Reid and Donovan McNabb? Apparently I do. They've been blowing people up and they know their division rivals well. Plaxico Burress' absence hurts the Giants more than they'd like to admit. The Giant's Super Bowl defense ends here.


San Diego Chargers (+6) Over Pittsburgh Steelers (-6) -- As much as I hate to say it, the Chargers are playing great football right now. Despite the fact that they were once 4-8, they're in the playoffs and have the offensive firepower to cause real problems - even for the best defense in the league. The moneyline is at a profitable +220 on a straight up win.
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Allen Eastman


$500.00 First Half: Take #307 San Diego (+3.5) over Pittsburgh (4:30 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 11)
San Diego is on a roll and we’re going to continue to bet on the hot team. Pittsburgh is going to try to come out and establish a physical tone with its defense, but they have had a tough time putting points on the board against equally strong defenses. I think that San Diego will throw caution to the wind and play with nothing to lose, just as it has over the last four weeks. They are lose and they are ready and I think that they jump out to an early lead on the heavily favored Steelers, who were more of a fourth quarter team this season.

$400.00 ‘Over’ 38.0 San Diego at Pittsburgh (4:30 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 11)
Just like with the Ravens and Titans we’re going to go against the general thinking on this one. Everyone expect the Steelers defense to dominate, as it was the No. 1 unit in the league this year. But considering that the Chargers have already faced this team once this season I think they’ll be able to find some ways to exploit it. LT is out, but Darren Sproles is quite a game breaker and I think he will be able to bust one open. The ‘over’ is 16-6-2 in San Diego’s last 24 road games and the ‘over’ is 44-19-2 in Pittsburgh’s last 65 home games. Those two trends are too strong to ignore.
 
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Dr. Bob

NFL Strong Opinions

NY GIANTS (-4.0) 24 Philadelphia 14

11-Jan-09 10:00 AM Pacific Time

The Eagles are every bit as good as the Giants, but New York has had an extra week off and that has proven to be a significant factor in the playoffs. The oddsmakers started to adjust for the fact that home teams in this round performed better than expected and the road teams have actually covered more often in recent years. However, that has not been the case for teams that qualify in the 36-6 ATS playoff situation that applies to the Giants in this game. Philadelphia and New York split their two games this season, with the Eagles winning here in New Jersey in week 14, but teams with revenge are 15-0 ATS in that 36-6 ATS situation, so New York should be prepared to play well. Also, when division rivals meet in the playoffs the team that lost the most recent game is 23-8-1 ATS if the opponent has a win percentage of less than .700, which is the case here. These teams are even and my math model favors New York by 5 ½ points with the addition home field advantage for this round of the playoffs and the line has come down from -5 points to -4 points, so there is a little bit of line value on the side of New York in addition to the good situation. My only issue with this game is that the Eagles are 43-22-2 ATS as an underdog or pick under coach Andy Reid, including 5-1 ATS in the post-season. Philly is only 3-5 ATS as a dog or pick against a division rival with revenge, so that trend isn't enough to keep me away from favoring New York. It will, however, keep me from making the Giants at Best Bet at this price. I'll consider New York a Strong Opinion at -5 or less and I'd take the Giants in a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 at -1.15 odds or better.

PITTSBURGH (-6.0) 24 San Diego 13

11-Jan-09 01:45 PM Pacific Time

These teams played the only 11-10 game in NFL history in week 11 here in Pittsburgh, but that game should not have been that close. Pittsburgh dominated with 410 total yards at 5.7 yards per play to 213 yards at 4.3 yppl and I think they can do it again. The Steelers defense is the single most dominating unit in this game, allowing just 3.9 yppl for the season against a schedule of teams that would combine to averaged 5.3 yppl against an average defense. San Diego's offense was 0.6 yppl better than average for the season and I rate them at 1.1 yppl better than average with Darren Sproles at running back in place of the injured and washed up LaDainian Tomlinson. As good as the San Diego offense is with Sproles getting more touches, the Steelers' defense allowed more 4.8 yppl or more just one time all season (5.3 yppl at Tennessee) and should contain that attack. Pittsburgh isn't much offensively, averaging 5.0 yppl against teams that would allow 5.3 yppl to an average attack and the Chargers are average defensively, but my math model favors Pittsburgh by 5 1/2 points in this game, so the line is fair. The reason for siding with the Steelers is a 36-6 ATS playoff situation that applies to the Steelers in this game and a negative 4-21-1 ATS negative situation that applies to San Diego. The Chargers were able to win as a home underdog last week, but teams that win as a playoff home underdog are just 1-8 ATS on the road in their next playoff game. The reason I'm passing on this game as a Best Bet is because the Chargers are 19-3-2 ATS as an underdog the last 5 seasons, including 3-0 ATS this season. My research shows that teams trends are not nearly as predictive as general situations, so the technical analysis still favors the Steelers and I'll consider Pittsburgh a Strong Opinion at -6 ½ or less.
 
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Mr. A

Divisional Playoffs
Sunday, January 11th, 1:00 p.m. est.
Philadelphia Eagles (10-6) at New York Giants (12-4)
NY Giants have lost four of their last 6 games versus Philadelphia at home, 2-4 ATS. Take the Eagles in a close fight and a possible outright win. The Eagles defense will put relentless pressure on Giants quarterback Eli Manning. Take the points.

Sunday, January 11th, 4:45 p.m. est.
San Diego Chargers (9-8) at Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
The Chargers' explosive offense will keep this battle close, but the Steelers defense, ranked best in the league will get the job done The Steelers have won six of the last seven meetings and are 20-8 all-time in this series. Pittsburgh is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Philadelphia Eagles +4
Pittsburgh Steelers -6
 

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Larry Ness Sunday NFL

9* Division Round Total


The Steelers led the NFL in the following defensive categories, PPG (13.9), total YPG (237.2), passing YPG (156.9) and third down conversions (31 percent). Pittsburgh finished second in rushing yards (80.2 YPG / 3.3 YPC) and its pass D allowed just 12 TD passes with 20 INTs and 51 sacks (2nd-best). As for the Chargers, they became the first team to make the playoffs after a 4-8 start and then, after being 0-5 vs playoff-bound teams during the regular season, beat the Colts (who entered LW's game on a nine-game winning streak) 23-17 in 0T last Saturday. When these teams met at Pittsburgh in Week 11, the Steelers edged the Chargers 11-10, so based on the above, I guess this game is a 'dead under.' Not at all! First to that game in Week 11. The Steelers played a very sloppy game with 13 penalties for 115 yards. They were stopped on downs and settled for two FGs on three trips inside San Diego's red zone. Big Ben completed 31-of-41 passes in that game for 308 yards, one of just THREE games he topped 300 yards in a game this year. As for San Diego, the Chargers penetrated the Pittsburgh red zone three times as well, scoring one TD and a FG but also suffered an interception. Philip Rivers had his worst outing of the season that game (164 YP / zero TDs and two INTs / 44.4 QB rating) but let's review his full season. He finished the regular season with the league's best QB rating (105.5), the league's best YPA (8.92), the most passing TDs in the league (36) and ended with the fifth-most passing yards (4,009). With LT still less than 100%, I expect Rivers to be the focus of the offense (I don't expect Sproles to be the kind of factor he was against the Colts, do you?). Rivers has "spread the wealth around" this year, with six players catching 27 passes or more and three getting 50 or more. Getting back to Pittsburgh, Parker ran for 115 vs the Chargers in that first game and finished the regular season with 116 yards in Week 17 vs the Browns. This is the healthiest he's been all year and Big Ben should again have excellent success vs a San Diego pass D which allowed 67.9 percent completions this regular season, ranked 31st in yards passing (247.4 YPG) and allowed 25 TDs while intercepting only 15. The Chargers played seven road games this season plus a game in London with the Saints. Five of the eight games went 'over' and the avergae contest totaled a combined 48.1 PPG. Now to the Steelers and their history in Heinz Field. It opened in 2001 and even though the Steelers have always been known for their defense and running game, they are 40-23-1 to the over in their 64 regular season games (that's 62.5 percent). Since Big Ben arrived in 2004, the 'over' is 26-13-1 (66.7 percent). Now here's the 'clincher.' The Steelers have hosted six playoff games in Heinz Field with all SIX going 'over the total,' averaging 52.0 PPG.


9* Division Round Total on SD/Pit Over.



Larry's 25 Club Play (4-0 this season!)

Giants and Eagles are very familiar with each other. Since Coughlin has taken over in New York they've met 11 times, with the Giants owning a 6-5 edge. However, Philly has won THREE of the five meetings in the Meadowlands (including a 20-14 win TY in Week 14), as well as the lone postseason meeting during that span (23-20 at Philly in the '06 playoffs). The Eagles are clearly the team with the most momentum, as after benching McNabb during their embarrassing 36-7 loss at Baltimore in Week 12, the Eagles have gone 5-1 SU and ATS. McNabb, who wound up with a career-high 3,916 passing yards TY (60.4 percent / 23-11 ratio / 86.4 QB rating), threw nine TDs and just one INT in Philly's last five regular season games and then was 24-of-34 for 300 yards (2nd-ever 300-yard playoff game) with one TD and one INT vs the Vikings last week. The Giants got off to an 11-1 start (10-2 ATS) but then struggled down the stretch, losing THREE of their last four games. However, Eli had his best season as a pro, completing 60.3 percent (1st four years completed 54.5 with a 21-10 ratio). His QB rating was 86.4, after posting a 55.4 rating in his rookie season and ratings in the mid-70s over the last three years. Jacobs (1,089 YR / 5.0 YPC / 15 TDs), and Ward (1,025 YR / 5.6 YPC) gave the Giants a duo of 1,000 yard rushers (very rare), while Bradshaw (355 YR / 5.3 YPC) rounded out the league's top rushing attack (157.4 YPC / 5.0 YPC). There's little argument that the Giants will miss Burress but six players caught at least 33 passes TY and Smith (57), Toomer (48), Hixon (43) and even TE Boss (27 catches over his last 10 games with five of his six TDs) are all capable of "making plays." The Eagles did beat the Giants in the Meadowlands in Week 14, holding them to just 211 yards (lone offensive TD by NY came very late) but that was the first game after the "Burress distraction." The Giants are "long past" that now and after a week off, I expect them to be poised for an excellent effort. Philly's receivers are very mediocre and while Westbrook broke off a 71-yard TD catch last Sunday, he was held to just 38 yards rushing on 20 carries (1.9 YPC) vs the Vikings. The Giants may not be quite as good at stopping the run as Minnesota but they ain't bad, allowing 95.8 YPG. Let's also note that Westbrook is hardly 100% and in his final three regular season games, averaged just 49.3 YPG and 3.6 YPC. The Eagles were hardly dominant last week in Minnesota, despite Jackson (15-of-35) being terrible. There is no reason to think Manning won't play well after a solid regular season, following his "breakout performance" in LY's playoffs. The Eagles are on the road for the THIRD time in four weeks and face a Giants team which went 7-1 at home during the regular season. The Giants needed OT in two of those winss but won the other five by margins of nine, 38, 12, 21 and 20 points. Let's not forget this. The Giants won the Super Bowl last year after going 10-6 in the regular season. Despite the team's late slump, New York's 12-4 record was a two-game improvement over its regular season mark of a year ago. Just THREE times in the last 20 years have Super Bowls champs improved on their regular season record the following year and TWICE, those teams went on to win back-to-back Super Bowl titles. I'm not ready to predict a second straight Super Bowl win by the Giants but I am ready to predict a convincing win over the Eagles on Sunday, who were lucky to be playing the Vikings and Tarvaris Jackson last week.


25-Club play on the NY Giants
 
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Nelly's LTS

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->NELLY'S FOOTBALL PICKS

1/11/2009
3:30:00 PM UNDER 37.5,PITTSBURGH STEELERS
-vs-San Diego Chargers Rating: 1 units


1/11/2009
3:30:00 PM San Diego Chargers (+6)
over PITTSBURGH STEELERS Rating: 2 units
<!-- / message -->
 
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PICKENS

50 UNIT- NFC DIVISIONAL GAME EAGLES @ GIANTS

The Philadelphia Eagles are my choice in this matchup. Without the presence of Burress the Giants have quickly become a one trick pony. You know what is coming, but can you stop it? With Jim Johnson on the other side of the field, and an Eagles defense that looks as good as any in the McNabb era, I think Philadelphia matches up very well against the Gmen. Little has changed since the last meeting between these 2 teams....a meeting where the Eagles flat out DOMINATED the game from beginning to end. If anything the only thing that has changed is a healthy Brandon Jacobs (which is big) but the Eagles also have a massive amount of momentum. Come the end of this game I expect the Eagles defense to force many 3 and outs with 8 men in the box and let the best secondary in the NFL shut down Eli's passing game to his now very average WR corp minus Burress. The Eagles did a great job against AP last week against the Vikings and no matter what anyone says- AP is better than all 3 of the Giants backs any day of the week. I would prefer to matchup against 3 larger slower backs than 1 AP any day of the week. The Giants on the other hand have no momentum coming into this game. They were not playing good football since the Plaxico mess. This is NOT the same Giants team that won the Super Bowl last year. They've lost Manning's #1 safety valve in Burress, they lost the NFC's best DE early in the year, and now their others are still banged up. Philadelphia wins this game straight up and McNabb and Reid visit their record 5th NFC conference game.

PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA +4

50 unit- AFC DIVISIONAL ROUND REVENGE GAME CHARGERS @ STEELERS

Our selection is on the San Diego Chargers over the Steelers. I am the biggest believer in momentum...I thought it coming into this playoff season- the winner of the Colts / Chargers game is going to the Super Bowl. Yes I know, the Chargers have 8 losses...but they've also gotten the short end of the stick in a few games and could have EASILY been a 12 win team. I know close is only good in horseshoes and hand grenades, but trust me the Steelers want nothing to do with this Charger team. I expect San Diego to give Pittsburgh all they can handle- even without LT in the lineup. Rivers is playing fantastic right now, and I would take him any day of the week over Big Ben. The Steelers defense is everything impressive, but their offense will let them down in this game and it may not be enough for the win. Pittsburgh has found a way to win all year long in close games, but I'm afraid this time around the line does not come into play yet again.

PLAY ON SAN DIEGO +6

NFL PLAYOFF TOTALS OF THE WEEK


200 unit- Steelers / Chargers UNDER
100 unit- Giants / Eagles UNDER
 

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JEFFERSONSPORTS EARLY RELEASE
53-29 in NFL this year (3-2 in playoffs)

NFL
PITTSBURGH-5.5 -125
 

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Raging Bull Handicappers

Soccer:

Manchester United +110 (English Premier League)

AC Milan vs. AS Roma over 2.5 (Italy Serie A)

Real Madrid vs. Mallorca over 2.5 (Spain La Liga)

Barcelona vs. Osasuna over 3 (Spain La Liga)
 

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Sports Reporter's NFL for the weekend:

SUNDAY, JANUARY 11



*NY GIANTS over PHILADELPHIA by 3

Plaxico Burress in the lineup allows other players on his team to gain serious yardage. In the Giants’ first NFC East game of 2008 without Burress, Eli Manning passed for 305 yards against a semi-sorry Redskins’ defense. Since then, Manning threw for only 123 and 191 yards in losses where the Giants mustered only 8- and 14-point offensive outputs at Dallas and vs. these Eagles. For three straight games, Domenic Hixon has been the Giants leading receiver in yardage. Eagles defense will say: ‘Let it be Hixon,’ who caught only one pass in 2007. Or second-year WR Steve Smith, or second-year tight end Kevin Boss. Just don’t let it be Amani Toomer. Hixon is 6’2”, 182. Smith 5’11”, 195. Burress was 6’5”, 232, and would have made for a nightmarish game if the Eagles had to cover and tackle him as well as 264-pound RB Brandon Jacobs. Remember that the Giants scored “only” 24, 21, 20 and 21 in regulation time during last year’s post-season, when Eli Manning played turnover-free. Can Manning do that again? And, if New York is destined to score in that neighborhood or less against a pretty good Philadelphia defense, can the Giants defense do a good enough job to win and/or cover? Philly’s offense went for 31 points in the first meeting, and 20 was enough to win the second meeting. Last season, the Giants defense got 16 more sacks than the Eagles. This season, the Eagles defense has 6 more sacks than the Giants. Philly’s 20-14 win on this fielding December came on a windy day where this “passing team” nevertheless controlled the ball for almost 35 minutes. They chipped away with Brian Westbrook’s season-high 33 carries for 131 yards and he added six receptions for 72 yards. The Giants’ vaunted rushing game was held to 88 yards, which they will better in this game. Tom Coughlin would come out and strangle his punter on national TV if the guy out-kicked his coverage like the idiot on Minnesota kept doing last Sunday. Power running and smart special teams play can help the home favorite escape a potential “Flipper Anderson” game. NY GIANTS, 23-20.



BEST BET

SAN DIEGO over *PITTSBURGH by 5

How many playoff games has Steelers’ second-season head coach Mike Tomlin won as a head coach? The answer is zero, which is three fewer than Norv Turner has won in the last two seasons with the Chargers. Actually, coaches do not win playoff games. Teams win them. The Won-Loss records of coaches are essentially media-fabricated numbers needed to tell their “stories.” But you get the idea. Who knows – Tomlin could be destined to become the next head coach who “can’t win a post-season game.” Like Wade Phillips of the Dallas Cowboys, or Marty Schottenheimer of, well, pick your team. Tomlin’s Steelers beat San Diego 11-10 on this field in mid-November. The Roethlisberger (my head hurts!)-led Pittsburgh offense did not score a touchdown, despite San Diego’s maligned defensive status at the time, when the Chargers were two games post-firing of defensive coordinator Ted Cottrell. "I like playing on grass, mud, anything that slows down an offense," said Steelers’ linebacker James Harrison after that game. But it works both ways, and Pittsburgh’s skill players have to deal with the surface, too, on what is forecast to be a 20-degree evening with 12 mph wind. In the 11-10 game, also played in cold weather, the Chargers – who we’ll say are not disadvantaged by the conditions as much as everyone will say they’ll be -- yielded momentum when they were in the red zone as halftime neared. Philip Rivers threw an interception on first down from the Pittsburgh 17. Zip-zip-zip, down the field goes Pittsburgh to get a field goal to trail 7-5, instead of what could have been a 14-2 deficit. "It's just frustrating when you know that that's not the San Diego Chargers," tight end Antonio Gates said. "The Pittsburgh Steelers have a great defense but that's not how we play football offensively." There will certainly be knocks against San Diego, saying that they left it on the field against the Colts last Saturday night. But you remember well how half the team was injured a year ago in the playoffs and they still won at Indianapolis, then came back across the country to New England for what became yet another money-getting performance vs. the spread for the Nation of Norv. Yes, Sports Reporter Community is 4-0 ATS with San Diego in the NFL post-season dating back to January 2008. The opportunity to opt out while way ahead is there. Not gonna take it. SAN DIEGO, 22-17.
 

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